Transport Systems Engineering

The course aims to provide quantitative methods for safety analysis of complex systems according to all the in force regulations. Specific aims: • Theoretical concepts to support the definition of safety goals and criteria of '"acceptability" and "compliance" • Role of geo-historical-statistical data set: - to measure the accuracy of assumptions and parameters - to evaluate the effectiveness of systems, subsystems and equipments • Role of models in Quantitative Risk Analysis • Constitutive and organizational elements of complex systems • Types of system and risk factors - Statistical analysis of accidents and injuries data - Evaluation of empirical values of rates, conditional rates and empirical indicators of damage - Probabilistic analysis of cause-effect conditions (Fault Tree Analysis) representing the relationships between primary causes and incidental events - Probabilistic models of damage - Definition of safety targets - Cost-benefit analysis and Policy‐price