ECONOMIC STATISTICS

Course objectives

General objectives: Provide students with suitable knowledge of the statistical methodologies useful for the applications in economics, from a theoretical as well as an applied point of view. Specific Objectives: provide students with the basic notions of probability, the underpinnings of statistical inference and its role as a tool to draw conclusions on population parameters based on sample data. Specifically, students will learn how to obtain an estimator and how to assess its properties, the theory of hypothesis testing, will be able to discriminate between the two types of errors and to evaluate the power of a statistical test procedure, and will know the theory of the linear regression model. Ability to apply knowledge and understanding: Upon completion of the course, the students will be able to formalize a real data problem using the language of statistics, to identify the inferential question and to pick the most appropriate estimation and hypothesis testing procedures. They will be able to conduct their own analyses and build a regression model using a statistical program. Two lab sessions focused on the analysis of a case study will be conducted; after that, students will draft a short report describing the main findings and conclusions. This is intended to consolidate their ability to apply knowledge and understanding and to develop their communication skills. Learning skills: an essential bibliography will be made available to allow self-learning of new notions and more advanced techniques, especially micro and macro economic models.

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GUIDO PELLEGRINI Lecturers' profile

Program - Frequency - Exams

Course program
1) Introduction to economic statistics: The economic system and the flows between families and firms; The problem of measuring economic phenomena; Administrative sources and statistical surveys. Sample surveys. Demographic and economic censuses; Data quality 2) National accounting: the macroeconomic balance between resources and uses and the SEC scheme; Notes on the methods of measurement of the main macroeconomic aggregates. Measurement of value added and GDP. The main accounts of SEC 3) Index numbers: The construction of index numbers; Property; Use of index numbers for the comparison of monetary aggregates. Main price indexes in Italy 4) The table of sectorial interdependencies: The structure of the table; From the table to the Leontief model; The use of the Leontief model for the analysis of the production structure 5) The analysis of the production of firms: The production function; The properties of the Cobb-Douglas function (outline); Productivity measures; Technical progress. 6) Factors of production: Measurement of labor supply and demand; Definitions and measurement of material capital; ISTAT surveys on firms and labour. 7) Indicators for territorial analysis; Shift and Share analysis 8) Introduction to the evaluation of public policies
Prerequisites
No prerequisites are required
Books
Slides projected during the lectures available on the DISSE Department website Supplementary text: ENRICO GIOVANNINI, Le statistiche economiche, Il Mulino, second edition, 2015 The list of paragraphs relating to the exam program is available on the DISSE Department website
Frequency
Attendance is not mandatory but strongly recommended
Exam mode
Two compulsory written tests (on the first and second part of the program), of one hour each and consisting of at least two exercises (about two thirds of the total score) and about 6 multiple choice questions (about one third of the score ). Oral exam on request, after passing the written tests. The program is the same for attending and non-attending students. There are two exemption tests during the course.
Lesson mode
The program consists mainly of lectures and some specific classes. In the lectures the knowledge and understanding of the main methods at the basic level of economic statistics and national accounting will be developed and their use for the interpretation and critical evaluation of statistical and economic information will be stimulated. In the classes some exercises will be presented and discussed in preparation for the exam, the specific communicative characteristics of the economic information will be described and finally the student's ability to produce and critically evaluate economic data autonomously will be stimulated. Furthermore, will be an introduction to the use of spreadsheets.
  • Lesson code1017246
  • Academic year2024/2025
  • CourseInternational Economic Relations
  • CurriculumSingle curriculum
  • Year1st year
  • Semester2nd semester
  • SSDSECS-S/03
  • CFU6
  • Subject areaStatistico-matematico